Under the “needle thread” of the trump administration, Israel and the United Arab Emirates recently announced that they will realize the full normalization of their relations, and the two sides will formally sign an agreement in the next few weeks. This is the third peace agreement between Israel and Arab countries since its founding in 1948. Previously, Israel established diplomatic relations with Egypt and Jordan in 1979 and 1994 respectively. It is generally believed that with the settlement between the UAE and Israel, more Arab and Islamic countries will follow up and choose to establish diplomatic relations with Israel. Based on this, the outside world regards the ice breaking of Israel Arab relations as a “strong earthquake” in the geopolitics of the Middle East, and believes that it will bring about great changes in the geopolitical pattern of this region, which is affected by wars and complicated religious and ethnic conflicts. < p > < p > with only 80 days left in the US general election, the trump administration successfully mediated the reconciliation between Israel and Afghanistan, which was regarded as a diplomatic victory of trump and would help his election campaign. Trump himself made no secret of his joy on social media, calling it the “historic peace agreement.”. The US Secretary of state described the move as “a big step towards peace in the Middle East.”. “I wouldn’t be surprised if [trump] finally won the Nobel Peace Prize nomination,” said O’Brien, assistant to the US president for national security affairs < / P > < p > has trump really made a “miracle” for peace in the Middle East? Is the 72 year old state of hostility in the Middle East really coming to an end as US officials boast? I’m afraid it’s not so simple! First, the Palestinian Israeli conflict is still unresolved and even more complicated. Public opinion generally believes that the current US government is obviously biased towards Israel on the Palestinian Israeli issue, and Palestine is also the biggest loser in achieving reconciliation between Israel and Israel through the United States. In the past, the official position of the United Arab Emirates, like most Arab countries, took the establishment of an independent Palestinian state as a prerequisite for normalization of relations with Israel. Now, the UAE has chosen to reconcile with Israel only on the condition that Israel stops “annexing Palestinian territory”. This will undoubtedly make Palestine feel “stabbed in the back”. < / P > < p > for a long time, the international community has been promoting the “two state solution” to promote the settlement of the Palestinian Israeli conflict. However, many international public opinions believe that after the reconciliation between Israel and Palestine, the hope of an independent Palestinian state is increasingly dim. The status quo of the Palestinian territories occupied by Israel over the past few decades has in fact been recognized to some extent. The Israeli side also said that it had not terminated its plan of “annexing Palestinian territory”, but only suspended it. As far as the current situation is concerned, it is more difficult for Palestine Israel relations to break the ice. As long as there is no solution to the Palestinian Israeli conflict, there will be no peace in the Middle East. Secondly, the contradiction between Iran and other countries is likely to intensify. “The enemy of an enemy is a friend.”. The reason why trump government can promote Israel Arab reconciliation is that Iran plays a very important role. In the past decade, in response to the Iranian threat, Israel and the United Arab Emirates have cooperated closely and even shared intelligence with each other. The trump administration also regards Iran as the biggest threat in the Middle East, and has been seeking to build a “Middle East version of NATO” to deal with Iran. The United States, Israel and Afghanistan will be labeled “anti Iraq alliance” by the outside world. From the point of view of the current situation, the conflict between the Middle East and Palestine is gradually weakening, and the contradiction between the Arab countries and the Palestinian countries is gradually weakening, and the contradiction between the Middle East and the Palestinian countries is gradually weakening. It is expected that the forces supporting Iran and those opposing Iran will speed up the reorganization and continue to fight. The continued turbulence in the Middle East is a high probability event and may suddenly intensify at a certain point in time. Thirdly, internal division in the Arab and Islamic world continues to intensify. To this day, “normalization of relations” with Israel is still a dirty word in Arabic. Although the United Arab Emirates has reached a settlement with Israel, it lacks sufficient public support. Political news of the United States has noted that although it is not so prominent compared with the past, the voice of supporting the independent establishment of Palestine in the whole Middle East region is still strong. Social media users in the Middle East generally expressed frustration after the Israeli Arab reconciliation. It is expected that some Arab and Islamic countries will follow suit, but many will not follow suit. Some Islamic countries, including Turkey, have clearly expressed their opposition. As the protagonist of this ice breaking drama, UAE’s motivation has aroused negative speculation. Some people believe that the UAE has instrumentalized the Palestinian issue and tried to construct a strategic alliance between the United States, Israel and Arab States. Its goal is to expand its influence on regional affairs, not for peace in the Middle East. On the contrary, the latest move of the United Arab Emirates is likely to deepen the suspicion and anxiety of the countries in the region and intensify the existing tensions. Peace loving people all over the world sincerely hope that the Israeli Arab reconciliation promoted by the United States can become an important step in the Middle East peace process. However, as long as the United States can not uphold a fair position on the Middle East issue, still seek confrontation with relevant countries, and use other countries as pawns for confrontation diplomacy, then peace in the Middle East will be difficult to come!