Of course, China must not show weakness. When we do not shoot the first shot, our military pressure on Taiwan must be constantly increased to make the other side aware of the seriousness of the situation. There is no doubt that there is further tension in the Taiwan Strait. In view of the rising risk of gun brushing and misfire, a report in Taiwan’s China Times quoted sources as saying that the Taiwan military said internally that if a Taiwan Army pilot fired the first shot without receiving an order from the Air Force Combat Command, he would be sent to justice immediately after landing. We believe that this criterion must be strictly observed by the Taiwan army.
at the same time, we believe that in the Taiwan Strait region, the PLA, the US military and the Taiwan army should abide by the principle of not firing the first shot, and inform each other of this attitude through official channels. This is helpful to help the front-line forces to correctly judge the intention of the other side, avoid tension in the field, and effectively reduce the risk of gun fire.
it must be noted that with the upgrading of the strategic game between China and the United States, both armies have increased their activities in China’s coastal waters, the chances of meeting each other have become more and more serious, and the interpretation of each other’s intentions has become more severe. Neither side has the strategic will to fight a war now, but both sides are stepping up preparations to deal with the situation suddenly out of control. This is probably the period since 1996 when the risk of gunfire in China’s offshore waters, especially in the Taiwan Strait, is the greatest.
what is particularly different is that once there is a gun fire or an extreme event like the plane collision between China and the United States in 2001, it will be much more difficult for both sides to control the situation and solve the crisis peacefully than in those years. Public opinions of both countries will be detonated at that time, thus greatly reducing the space for the two governments to deal with the crisis through mutual compromise.
therefore, not firing the first shot should become a common principle of the three armed forces of China, the United States and Taiwan. No matter which side of the army, in seemingly dangerous contact, insists on not firing the first shot, which is a “goalkeeper” for the overall situation of peace and a real responsibility for the well-being of the people.
of course, the responsibility for peace in the Taiwan Strait cannot all be placed on the “goalkeeper”. The only way to ensure lasting peace is to reduce the pressure on the situation at the political level of the three parties. If the US and Taiwan politicians continue to make waves and push the situation to a more and more serious tension, it will be a high probability that the Taiwan Strait will eventually get fired.
, from the Chinese mainland side, the first shot is not cowardly and weak. For the army, it is also a sacred mission to prevent war and respond to it, and to avoid military friction that may have destructive political power. This has never been a disgrace to the army. The existence of the army is always closely linked to the well-being of the people. In addition, if the PLA insists on not firing the first shot, the PLA’s ability to counter the first firing by the other side must be overwhelming, which will form a strong deterrent to the other side.
at the same time, it is obvious that not firing the first shot is a daily rule for the front-line forces, but it is not a strategic constraint of the state. If the authorities have rushed through the red line of the anti secession law, if the Taiwan Strait has experienced a fundamental incident of splitting the country, then the Chinese mainland’s military strength will certainly stop all the means including war, according to law. At that time, the PLA will not only fight the war against separatism, but also will crush the “power” and thoroughly solve the Taiwan issue.
has a very wide and uncertain area between the peace and war in the Taiwan Strait. China and the United States are the party, and the Chinese mainland is on the other side. It is developing the increasingly risky political and military game. The trend of “the United States and Taiwan” is closely related to the strategic ambitions of the United States to contain China and to promote the escalation of the situation. The Chinese mainland must not be weak. If we do not shoot the first shot, our military pressure on Taiwan must be constantly increased to make the other side aware of the seriousness of the situation.
the PLA’s exercises should be further strengthened with the aggravation of us Taiwan provocation, and our fighters should be closer to Taiwan island or even appear over Taiwan as the other side becomes more rampant. In order to make Taiwan more and more aware that the PLA has the full capacity and determination to smash the “forces” in one fell swoop when necessary, the closer the collusion between Taiwan and the United States and the larger the scale of action, the closer the fundamental danger will be.
China has the desire for peace and the courage and strength to maintain national unity through war. So whether we want peace or war, please choose from the authorities and from Washington.